Exposed Cards

There is one feature to compare the odds of making your hand to your pot odds that is normally unnoticed in open-handed games such as stud poker and razz. The consequence on your play of the cards exposed in other players' hands which definitely involves cards that were folded along with those still out against you. For example, it would be foolish to play a pair of 5s in seven-card stud with the two other 5s exposed.

Your chances to improve a hand changes considerably as per the number of needed cards that have gone and the total number of cards exposed. The second reason is significant. For example, you have three spades on your first three cards and with no other cards seen; you make a spade flush in seven cards 18 percent of the time. Now, let's say when you look around the poker table, you see that exactly one of your seven rivals shows a spade. What difference will it make to your chances of making a flush? You are right if you say it increases them. Right, one of your necessary cards is gone, but so too are six unnecessary cards. Thus, there are more spades fairly between the unseen cards than you would presume if you have seen no cards at all.

Universally in poker games, it's not the total number of exposed cards that people do not pay attention but the number of cards between them that they need. It is very vital to pay attention to these cards as their occurrence can change a playable hand into an unplayable one. Suppose, in seven-card stud you have three spades on your first three cards and you have seen seven other free cards. The below table will show the consequence of other cards on making a flush.


Number of Spades Except yours (in percent)
Chances To Make a Flush

0

23.6

1

19.6

2

15.8

3

12.3

4

9.1

You have a strong hand with no spades out. Your hand becomes slightly playable with two out and with four or more out, it becomes a hand not worth a call.

Here are a few other examples from seven-card stud and seven-card razz to show the consequence of exposed cards on the chance of making a poker reading hand.

In seven-card stud, you have

on your first three cards. Seven other cards have been seen.

Number of 5s and Aces Seen except yours Chances for Aces Up Or Three-of-a-kind (in percent)

0

41.0

1

34.1

2

26.5

3

18.3

4

10.5

In seven-card stud, you have

on your first three cards. Eight other cards have been seen.

Number of 5s And 10s Seen
Chances For a Straight (in percent)

0

49.8

1

44.8

2

39.4

3

33.8

4

27.8

In seven-card razz, you have

on your first four cards. Ten other cards have been seen.

Number of 5s, 6s, 7s, and 8s Seen
Chances For an 8, Low or Better (in percent)

0

81.8

2

76.0

3

72.7

4

69.2

5

65.3

6

61.2

7

56.7

8

51.9

Although, you are a favorite to make an 8 low or better with eight of your necessary cards between the ten exposed, note it is harder to make a 7 low.

Number of 5s, 6s And 7s Seen
Chances For a 7 Low or Better (in percent)

0

69.2

4

51.9

8

29.1


These tables denotes the significance of taking the cards that you see in other players' hands before comparing the pot odds you are getting to your chances in making your hand.